New Delhi: World Health Organization chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said this week that the world is in the early stages of the third Covid-19 wave. At the same time, many studies including a study by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) found that the third wave may knock in India by the end of August, but if a deep look at the data of Kovid, it is found that the third wave has arrived. .
In fact, on July 7, India saw an increase in active cases after 55 days. The data released by the Union Health Ministry showed that 784 active cases were added in the day, taking the total active case load to 460,704. The second increase came within just a week, on July 14, when this time the active cases increased by 2,095. The recently released data by the Ministry of Health showed that 73 districts still have a positivity rate of more than 10%. This means that out of 100 people tested, 10 turned out to be positive and 47 of these districts are in Northeast India.
slow fall warning sign
The steady trend in COVID-19 cases can be confirmed by the regular and rapid decline in the weekly decline in active and daily cases over the last two months. NITI Aayog member Dr. VK Paul has said that the slow decline in cases is a warning sign. The active case load declined by 22.61% in the week ending May 27 and the decline witnessed a decline of 30.18% and 31.44% in the next two weeks between May 28 and June 3 and June 4-10, respectively. But since then a dangerous sign started appearing in the country. The rate of decline of active cases decreased sharply from week to week.
The active Covid-19 case load declined by 23.26% in the week ended June 24, which further reduced to 16.84% in the week ended July 1. 10% in the week ended 8 July and 6.17% in the last week ended 15 July, with India’s current active case load at 4,30,422 cases. At the same time, the trend of the spread of COVID is also confirmed by the fact that the decline in the seven-day rolling average of daily confirmed cases, which slowed down sharply at first, has started rising again and the daily new cases are showing an upward trend. .
In fact, the pace of decline in the number of daily cases has also slowed down. With 32,906 cases on July 12, the daily fresh cases saw the lowest mark so far this month, but the number has risen since then. Also, the confirmed cases are approaching 40,000 cases per day.
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